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Microsoft's $3.2B Anthropic Gain, Antora's Thermal Batteries, Eliyan Unicorn

2026-07-31 · 9 min

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Transcript

Intro

Nora: [dry] Three-point-two billion in profit... on the AI lab that isn't OpenAI. And in the same breath, Microsoft quietly wrote down the one everybody worships.

Dex: [excited] This is Dex.

Nora: And this is Nora.

Dex: It's Friday, July 31st, 2026, and we've got three stories that all come down to one thing — AI. Money, heat, and cables.

Nora: [dry] Money, heat, and cables. My favorite band.

Dex: First up — Microsoft banks a $3.2 billion gain on Anthropic while marking DOWN its OpenAI stake by six hundred mil.

Nora: Then Antora Energy pours $550 million into a Series C to power data centers with... glowing blocks of carbon.

Dex: Plus a chip-interconnect startup called Eliyan hits unicorn status — a full billion — on a $145 million round.

Nora: Three rounds, one theme: everybody's trying to feed the AI beast without getting eaten.

Microsoft logs $3.2B gain on Anthropic stake as its OpenAI investment gets marked down

Dex: So Microsoft's earnings dropped, and buried in the numbers is a plot twist — a $3.2 billion quarterly gain on their Anthropic investment.

Nora: That added about 33 cents to diluted EPS. Meanwhile the OpenAI stake? Marked down roughly $600 million — knocked 7 cents right back off.

Dex: [excited] Dude, this is the tell of the year. Microsoft is hedging. They're the biggest OpenAI backer on the planet, and they're quietly cashing checks off the rival.

Nora: Or — hear me out — it's just accounting. Anthropic's valuation went up, OpenAI's mark got trimmed. Nobody chose a side. The spreadsheet did.

Dex: Come on. You don't accidentally end up on both sides of a war this expensive.

Nora: [sarcastic] Right, because Microsoft is famous for its emotional loyalty.

Dex: [laughs] Fair. But here's my hot take — the fact that OpenAI got marked down at all? That's the loud part. That's what investors are gonna circle.

Nora: Six hundred million on Microsoft's balance sheet is a rounding error, Dex. They spend more than that on office snacks.

Dex: It's not the size, it's the direction. Up on Anthropic, down on OpenAI, same quarter. The idea that OpenAI is untouchable just took a hairline crack.

Nora: [beat] Okay, that I'll grant you. When your biggest patron's ledger says your rival is winning this quarter... that's a bad look.

Dex: So what's it mean for you? If you're building on one AI provider, notice that even Microsoft isn't betting the farm on a single lab.

Nora: For founders: don't hardcode your whole startup to one model API. The giant with a trillion-dollar research budget is diversifying — maybe you should too.

Dex: Multi-model or bust. This race is nowhere near settled, and the money's telling you that outright.

Nora: [dry] Feels like Microsoft is dating both twins and calling it a portfolio strategy.

Antora Energy closes $550M Series C to scale thermal batteries for AI data centers

Dex: Next up — Antora Energy just closed a $550 million Series C. One of the biggest cleantech rounds all year.

Nora: Co-led by G2 Venture Partners and Eclipse, with Bill Gates' Breakthrough Energy, plus BlackRock and Temasek's Decarbonization Partners piling in.

Dex: And the tech is wild — they take cheap electricity and store it as heat. Glowing-hot solid carbon blocks. Then they pull that energy back out to run data centers around the clock.

Nora: [dry] So it's a very expensive brick. A brick that gets angry and orange.

Dex: [laughs] It's a thermal battery! Solar's cheap when the sun's up, but data centers need juice 24/7 — this bridges the gap without lithium.

Nora: Here's my problem. Thermal storage has been 'the next big thing' for fifteen years. The graveyard is full of glowing bricks.

Dex: But the demand side changed! AI data centers are so power-hungry that suddenly 'store cheap heat, dispatch it later' is a real business, not a science fair.

Nora: The demand's real, I'll give you that. Whether Antora specifically can scale a carbon block to gigawatt-hours without it cracking — different question.

Dex: Half a billion dollars says smart money thinks they can.

Nora: [sarcastic] Smart money also gave us WeWork's rebrand. 'Investors believe' is not a physics proof, Dex.

Dex: Okay, but Gates' fund doesn't chase hype cycles, they chase decarbonization math. That's a signal.

Nora: [beat] That's the one part I respect. Breakthrough is patient capital. They're not flipping this in eighteen months.

Dex: What's it mean for you? If you're in climate or hardware, the money is flowing again — especially anything that solves 'AI needs stupid amounts of clean power.'

Nora: And if you're pitching cleantech — attach yourself to the data-center power crunch. That's the story unlocking checks right now.

Dex: Heat is the new hotness. [laughs] I've been waiting all episode to say that.

Nora: [sighs] And it was worth every second of the wait.

Eliyan hits unicorn status with $145M Series C for AI chip interconnects

Dex: Last one — Eliyan just crossed into unicorn territory. $145 million Series C, one-billion-dollar valuation.

Nora: Led by Seligman Ventures, with Cisco Investments and Lumentum jumping in. And here's what actually matters — those two are strategic, not just financial.

Dex: Right?! Lumentum does optics, Cisco does networking. They're not tourists, they're customers-slash-partners in disguise.

Nora: So what does Eliyan actually make, in English, for the people who don't speak fiber-optic?

Dex: Interconnects. When you cram thousands of AI chips together, the bottleneck isn't the chip — it's getting data between chips fast enough. Eliyan builds electro-optical links to unclog that.

Nora: [dry] So the picks-and-shovels... of the picks-and-shovels.

Dex: [excited] Exactly! Everyone's obsessed with GPUs, but the connectivity crunch is the silent killer of big AI clusters. This is the plumbing.

Nora: Here's my skepticism, though — a billion-dollar valuation off $145 million raised, for a problem NVIDIA also really, really wants to own in-house.

Dex: That's the risk, sure. But if the big chipmakers don't crack it fast, an independent interconnect layer is worth a fortune to everyone who ISN'T NVIDIA.

Nora: 'Everyone who isn't NVIDIA' is a surprisingly large and desperate market. Fine — that's a real thesis.

Dex: And notice the pattern across all three today — heat, money, cables. It's all just 'how do we physically feed the AI monster.'

Nora: The gold rush moved from the models to the infrastructure. The exciting part's over; now it's pipes and power bills.

Dex: What's it mean for you? If you're a hardware or infra founder, the bottleneck IS the opportunity. Find where the clusters choke, sell them the fix.

Nora: And if you're an investor — the shovels are getting expensive. A billion-dollar valuation for plumbing means the obvious trade is already crowded.

Dex: A unicorn made of Ethernet cables. What a time.

Nora: Quick recap. Microsoft made $3.2 billion on Anthropic and quietly marked OpenAI down $600 million — the loudest whisper in tech this week.

Dex: Antora grabbed $550 million to turn cheap power into angry orange bricks that keep data centers humming overnight.

Nora: And Eliyan became a unicorn selling the cables that keep AI chips talking to each other.

Dex: Three stories, one monster to feed.

Dex: Before we go — I did the math. Microsoft's Anthropic gain in a single quarter is more than Antora's entire Series C. From one line item.

Nora: [dry] So Microsoft could've funded the whole glowing-brick company... with the loose change it found in the Anthropic couch cushions.

Dex: [laughs] Big Tech: where a rounding error is somebody's dream round.

Nora: Put THAT on a motivational poster for founders.

Dex: [excited] And that's the show! Money, heat, and cables — three ways to feed the beast. See you tomorrow.

Nora: [dry] I'll be here diversifying my model APIs and dating both twins. This was Nora — see you Monday.

This show is made with AI: the hosts’ voices are synthetic and the scripts are AI-assisted. Every story links to its original source.